Manzini Sundowns vs Umbelebele Jomo Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
28.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manzini Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2013 |
MAN
4 - 0
MAN
44%
26%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
MAN
2 - 2
MAN
47%
26%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2013 |
MID
0 - 0
MAN
54%
24%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
MAL
0 - 3
MAN
57%
23%
20%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2013 |
MAN
0 - 1
ROY
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Umbelebele Jomo Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
MID
0 - 1
UMB
52%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
MBA
2 - 0
UMB
56%
23%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
MAN
3 - 1
UMB
45%
27%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
UMB
1 - 3
MAN
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2013 |
YOU
3 - 0
UMB
45%
26%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |