Manzini Sundowns vs Umbelebele Jomo Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
28.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manzini Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2011 |
MAN
2 - 0
HFC
40%
26%
34%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
MAN
3 - 0
MAN
46%
28%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
MAN
0 - 2
ROY
42%
27%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2011 |
HUB
0 - 3
MAN
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2011 |
GRE
0 - 0
MAN
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Umbelebele Jomo Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
MAN
3 - 1
UMB
46%
26%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
UMB
1 - 2
MON
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
EMF
1 - 2
UMB
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
UMB
3 - 2
EMF
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2011 |
UMB
2 - 1
HIG
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |