Manzini Sundowns vs Royal Leopards analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
28.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manzini Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
GRE
1 - 1
MAN
49%
25%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
MAN
0 - 1
RLI
44%
25%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
MAL
2 - 2
MAN
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
MAN
3 - 3
MON
46%
27%
27%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
MAN
1 - 4
MBA
39%
26%
35%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Royal Leopards
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
MAN
1 - 1
ROY
47%
26%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
ROY
0 - 1
GRE
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
RLI
1 - 1
ROY
52%
24%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MBA
2 - 1
ROY
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
ROY
2 - 2
MAL
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |