Manzini Sundowns vs Mbabane Swallows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
37.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manzini Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
MAN
3 - 0
MID
41%
28%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2017 |
MAN
1 - 1
MAN
40%
27%
33%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
RLI
2 - 3
MAN
52%
25%
23%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2017 |
MAN
1 - 1
TAM
40%
26%
34%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
HIG
1 - 0
MAN
52%
25%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mbabane Swallows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
MBA
1 - 1
MAT
57%
21%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2017 |
RLI
0 - 2
MBA
44%
24%
33%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
YOU
1 - 1
MBA
35%
26%
39%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
MBA
1 - 1
MAL
53%
22%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
ROY
0 - 2
MBA
42%
25%
33%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |