Manzini Sundowns vs Mbabane Swallows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
41.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manzini Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 3
MAN
52%
25%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
MAN
0 - 0
TAM
42%
26%
31%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 1
RLI
40%
26%
34%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
MON
2 - 3
MAN
47%
28%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2016 |
MAN
2 - 2
ROY
39%
28%
33%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mbabane Swallows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
MBA
3 - 1
YOU
56%
23%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
ROY
1 - 2
MBA
42%
24%
34%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
MBA
3 - 0
MID
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
MBA
8 - 1
RLI
52%
22%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
TAM
0 - 3
MBA
43%
23%
33%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |