Manzini Sundowns vs Mbabane Swallows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
34.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manzini Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
MAN
0 - 1
MAN
43%
27%
30%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
MAN
0 - 4
GRE
42%
27%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
YOU
0 - 0
MAN
48%
26%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
MAN
3 - 0
TAM
42%
26%
33%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
MAL
2 - 3
MAN
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mbabane Swallows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
RLI
0 - 4
MBA
47%
23%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
MAN
0 - 1
MBA
42%
25%
33%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
GRE
0 - 1
MBA
44%
25%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
MBA
4 - 0
HFC
58%
22%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
MBA
4 - 1
RLI
55%
22%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |