Manzini Sundowns vs Mbabane Swallows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
35.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manzini Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
MAN
1 - 0
HFC
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
MAN
3 - 1
RLI
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
MON
0 - 1
MAN
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
HIG
0 - 3
MAN
45%
28%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
YOU
0 - 0
MAN
50%
26%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mbabane Swallows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
MBA
3 - 2
YOU
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
MBA
1 - 4
MAL
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
TAM
0 - 2
MBA
47%
24%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2011 |
MBA
0 - 1
ROY
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
MBA
1 - 2
HIG
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |