Manzini Sundowns vs Mbabane Swallows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
30.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manzini Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
MAN
2 - 1
MAN
47%
28%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2009 |
HIG
1 - 0
MAN
51%
27%
22%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
MAN
1 - 2
GRE
45%
27%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
MAN
0 - 3
MHL
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2009 |
MAN
0 - 2
MAL
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mbabane Swallows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2009 |
YOU
2 - 4
MBA
46%
25%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
MAN
2 - 1
MBA
41%
27%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
MUS
1 - 3
MBA
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
MBA
4 - 2
GRE
56%
24%
20%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
HIG
4 - 2
MBA
42%
27%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |