Manzini Sundowns vs Mbabane Swallows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
27.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manzini Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
MAN
1 - 1
UMB
46%
26%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
MAN
1 - 2
MAN
46%
27%
27%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
YOU
2 - 0
MAN
53%
25%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
MAN
0 - 2
HIG
48%
26%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
IFC
1 - 1
MAN
49%
26%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mbabane Swallows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2007 |
MBA
0 - 1
MID
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
MHL
1 - 1
MBA
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2007 |
MBA
1 - 1
GRE
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
UMB
0 - 1
MBA
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
MBA
2 - 1
MAN
52%
25%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |