Manzini Sundowns vs Mbabane Swallows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manzini Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2004 |
MON
1 - 1
MAN
50%
23%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
YOU
2 - 2
MAN
51%
23%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2004 |
MAN
1 - 1
MHL
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
MHL
3 - 1
MAN
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
HIG
1 - 0
MAN
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mbabane Swallows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2004 |
MBA
1 - 0
YOU
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2004 |
MBA
2 - 0
ROY
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2004 |
MON
2 - 1
MBA
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
GRE
1 - 3
MBA
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
MAN
1 - 0
MBA
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |