Manzanese vs Union Quinto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
55.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manzanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
CON
0 - 0
MZN
65%
20%
15%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
MZN
0 - 1
SAN
25%
24%
51%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
NUO
1 - 0
MZN
53%
24%
23%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
MZN
0 - 1
ACM
20%
24%
56%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
ACE
2 - 1
MZN
74%
17%
10%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Union Quinto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 1
JES
39%
25%
36%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
POR
2 - 0
UNI
48%
25%
27%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 2
ABM
61%
22%
17%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
UNI
1 - 0
APA
75%
16%
9%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
PAL
5 - 4
UNI
18%
23%
60%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | -1 |