Manurewa vs Western Springs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
54.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
3º
10º
10º
43
2º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manurewa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ECB
0 - 3
MAN
56%
19%
24%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
AUC
2 - 0
MAN
82%
11%
7%
|
28 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
PET
1 - 2
MAN
28%
21%
50%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 0
AFC
24%
21%
56%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
EAS
3 - 0
MAN
79%
13%
8%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Western Springs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
WES
3 - 2
BIR
56%
19%
25%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
WES
3 - 3
MEL
72%
15%
13%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
MUF
1 - 2
WES
13%
16%
72%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
WES
4 - 1
AFC
32%
25%
43%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 0
WES
15%
17%
68%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -1 |