Manurewa vs Hamilton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.1%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
79.4%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
12%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
17%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.9%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manurewa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
MAN
0 - 1
MEL
15%
19%
66%
|
11 | 38 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Hamilton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
HAW
4 - 0
HAW
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
HAW
1 - 3
WEL
40%
24%
36%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
AUC
4 - 1
HAW
80%
14%
7%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
HAW
0 - 5
AUC
21%
26%
53%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
TAS
1 - 0
HAW
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |