Manurewa vs Eastern Suburbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
66.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
11º
12º
12º
30
2º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 48 |
1º
|
73.5% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 44 |
2º
|
44% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 41 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 37 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 37 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
30 | 37 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 34 |
7º
|
52.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 26 |
8º
|
92.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 20 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 20 |
10º
|
24.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 16 |
11º
|
37% | |
|
|
12º
|
11 | 15 |
12º
|
71% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 49.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
11.5% | 50.5% |
|
Relegation
|
88.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manurewa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
AUC
4 - 1
MAN
28%
21%
51%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
MAN
0 - 0
BIR
8%
12%
80%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | +2 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
MAN
2 - 1
FEN
44%
21%
35%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
BAO
0 - 1
MAN
75%
14%
11%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
MEL
1 - 0
MAN
59%
20%
21%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Eastern Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
FEN
0 - 2
EAS
21%
19%
60%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
EAS
1 - 1
ECB
64%
18%
18%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
EAS
0 - 2
AUC
85%
10%
5%
|
42 | 16 | 26 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
MUF
1 - 3
EAS
20%
19%
61%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
AFC
1 - 2
EAS
45%
22%
33%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |