Manurewa vs Eastern Suburbs analysis


25	ELO	44
-1.5%	Tilt	-1.6%
12247º	General ELO ranking	7290º
29º	Country ELO ranking	9º
ELO win probability

19%

Manurewa

19.1%

Draw

61.9%

Eastern Suburbs

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

19%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.6%

19.1%

Draw

0-0

2.9%

1-1

8.2%

2-2

5.8%

3-3

1.8%

4-4

0.3%

5-5

<0%

0

19.1%

61.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-27%

-12%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

10º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

19

3º

10º

44

2º

11º

3º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

2º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	51	51	1º	100%
4º	43	46	2º	78%
2º	44	44	3º	78%
3º	43	43	4º	100%
5º	40	40	5º	100%
6º	28	28	6º	100%
7º	25	25	7º	100%
8º	23	23	8º	100%
9º	22	22	9º	100%
10º	19	19	10º	100%
11º	18	18	11º	100%
12º	14	14	12º	100%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Final Series	0%	100%
Mid-table	0%	0%
Relegation play-offs	100%	0%
Relegation	0%	0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Manurewa

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
03 Aug. 2024	MAN 0 - 0 TCU 16% 16% 68%	26	40	14	0
27 Jul. 2024	WEL 4 - 0 MAN 86% 9% 5%	26	51	25	0
20 Jul. 2024	MAN 1 - 4 BIR 19% 18% 64%	28	41	13	-2
13 Jul. 2024	HAW 3 - 3 MAN 39% 21% 40%	28	21	7	0
06 Jul. 2024	MAN 3 - 2 ONE 18% 18% 64%	26	42	16	+2

Matches

Eastern Suburbs

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
03 Aug. 2024	EAS 2 - 0 WCR 81% 12% 7%	43	20	23	0
20 Jul. 2024	EAS 1 - 0 MEL 80% 13% 7%	44	26	18	-1
13 Jul. 2024	BIR 1 - 2 EAS 47% 23% 29%	43	42	1	+1
29 Jun. 2024	EAS 1 - 2 ECB 80% 13% 8%	44	22	22	-1
22 Jun. 2024	EAS 1 - 0 AUC 19% 21% 60%	43	53	10	+1