Manurewa vs Eastern Suburbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
7.6%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
73.7%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
15.5%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.5%
0-5
3%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manurewa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 3
BIR
9%
13%
78%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 0
BAO
49%
21%
29%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
MAN
3 - 0
MUF
52%
21%
27%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
WES
1 - 3
MAN
79%
13%
8%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
HAW
3 - 3
MAN
88%
8%
4%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Eastern Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
EAS
2 - 1
MEL
68%
19%
14%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
AFC
0 - 1
EAS
51%
23%
26%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
WCR
1 - 2
EAS
10%
15%
75%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
EAS
2 - 0
BIR
38%
24%
38%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
BAO
2 - 4
EAS
15%
17%
68%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |