Manurewa vs Birkenhead United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.5%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
80.1%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
8%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
6.5%
2-5
2%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
17.3%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
4.1%
2-6
1%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
12%
0-5
4.2%
1-6
2.2%
2-7
0.5%
3-8
0.1%
-5
6.9%
0-6
2.2%
1-7
1%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
3.4%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.5%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.6%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
11º
12º
12º
31
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 45 |
1º
|
66% | |
|
|
2º
|
31 | 42 |
2º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 41 |
3º
|
31% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 37 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 37 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 37 |
6º
|
23% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 34 |
7º
|
48% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 29 |
8º
|
90% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 20 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 18 |
10º
|
36% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 16 |
11º
|
49% | |
|
|
12º
|
11 | 15 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 85.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
15% | 14.5% |
|
Relegation
|
85% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manurewa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
MAN
2 - 1
FEN
44%
21%
35%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
BAO
0 - 1
MAN
75%
14%
11%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
MEL
1 - 0
MAN
59%
20%
21%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2025 |
WES
2 - 0
MAN
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
TCU
7 - 0
MAN
84%
10%
6%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Birkenhead United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
BIR
7 - 0
WUF
71%
16%
13%
|
45 | 20 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
BIR
3 - 3
WCR
85%
10%
5%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
BIR
0 - 0
WCR
73%
15%
11%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
BIR
2 - 1
AFC
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2025 |
BIR
0 - 1
ECB
75%
14%
11%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |