Manurewa vs Auckland II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.7%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
10%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.1%
7.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+560%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
11º
12º
12º
17
8º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 45 |
1º
|
66% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 42 |
2º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 41 |
3º
|
31% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 37 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 37 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 37 |
6º
|
23% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 34 |
7º
|
48% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 29 |
8º
|
90% | |
|
|
9º
|
17 | 20 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 18 |
10º
|
36% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 16 |
11º
|
49% | |
|
|
12º
|
11 | 15 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
15% | 87% |
|
Relegation
|
85% | 13% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manurewa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
FEN
2 - 2
MAN
33%
21%
46%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
MAN
1 - 2
BAO
31%
22%
47%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
BIR
5 - 0
MAN
83%
11%
6%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
MAN
0 - 3
WES
15%
18%
67%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
MAN
0 - 1
AUC
17%
21%
63%
|
22 | 51 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Auckland II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
AUC
1 - 2
ECB
11%
15%
74%
|
11 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
AFC
5 - 2
AUC
88%
8%
4%
|
11 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
AUC
0 - 0
EAS
10%
15%
75%
|
9 | 33 | 24 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
AUC
2 - 3
TCU
7%
12%
81%
|
9 | 34 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
FEN
1 - 1
AUC
79%
13%
9%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |