Manu Ura vs AS Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
28.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manu Ura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
PIR
3 - 1
MAN
53%
21%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2013 |
TEF
2 - 0
MAN
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
MAN
3 - 2
DRA
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
MAN
5 - 0
TAM
47%
23%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2012 |
ASV
3 - 4
MAN
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AS Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
OLY
0 - 5
ASE
20%
21%
59%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
PIR
2 - 1
ASE
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
ASE
2 - 2
VAI
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
ASE
1 - 2
RON
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |