Mantova U17 vs Cremonese U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.9%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
69.7%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+512%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
8º
14º
11º
42
3º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
57% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
7º
|
48.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 22 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
|
11º
|
21 | 22 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
71% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
82% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
COM
4 - 0
MAN
82%
12%
7%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 2
MIL
9%
13%
78%
|
12 | 45 | 33 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
ASS
0 - 2
MAN
83%
11%
6%
|
10 | 25 | 15 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
MAN
4 - 3
FSU
39%
22%
39%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CIT
0 - 0
MAN
81%
12%
7%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cremonese U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CRE
4 - 4
ATA
27%
21%
53%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
UDI
2 - 0
CRE
22%
22%
56%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
CRE
2 - 1
CAG
74%
15%
11%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CRE
1 - 1
COM
47%
21%
32%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MIL
4 - 2
CRE
84%
10%
6%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | -1 |