Manthiqueira vs São José analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
61.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manthiqueira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2017 |
MAN
2 - 0
ARC
77%
14%
9%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
MAN
2 - 0
JAB
39%
23%
38%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
MOG
0 - 5
MAN
11%
16%
73%
|
26 | 11 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
MAN
1 - 0
UNI
60%
20%
20%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
MAU
3 - 1
MAN
53%
21%
26%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 3
ARC
81%
12%
7%
|
45 | 12 | 33 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
MOG
1 - 2
SAO
9%
16%
76%
|
45 | 9 | 36 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2017 |
SAO
3 - 0
MAU
68%
17%
15%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
SAO
0 - 0
JAB
72%
16%
12%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
UNI
0 - 2
SAO
16%
19%
66%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | +1 |