Manthiqueira vs São Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
59.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manthiqueira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 0
MAN
76%
17%
7%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
MAN
1 - 1
NOR
19%
24%
57%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
ATI
3 - 0
MAN
71%
20%
10%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
VEL
2 - 1
MAN
67%
22%
11%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
MAN
0 - 1
DES
19%
25%
56%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 0
GRE
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
MAT
1 - 2
SAO
30%
26%
44%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
SAO
2 - 3
DES
39%
27%
33%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
BER
1 - 0
SAO
25%
25%
50%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 1
NOR
45%
27%
28%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |