Manthiqueira vs Paulista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
54.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manthiqueira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
UNI
3 - 1
MAN
30%
25%
45%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
MAN
0 - 0
AMP
50%
23%
28%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2019 |
SAO
0 - 0
MAN
65%
21%
14%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
MAN
0 - 0
SJS
41%
25%
34%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
MAN
2 - 0
MOG
77%
15%
9%
|
33 | 12 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2019 |
PAU
2 - 0
SAO
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
SJS
1 - 1
PAU
32%
26%
43%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
PAU
3 - 1
UNI
79%
15%
6%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
PAU
3 - 2
AMP
73%
16%
11%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
MOG
1 - 4
PAU
12%
18%
70%
|
46 | 11 | 35 | 0 |