Manthiqueira vs Mauaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
30.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manthiqueira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
JAB
2 - 1
MAN
44%
24%
32%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
POR
1 - 0
MAN
66%
20%
14%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
MAN
0 - 1
BER
31%
25%
45%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
ECU
0 - 2
MAN
15%
20%
65%
|
26 | 12 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ATI
1 - 0
MAN
71%
17%
12%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Mauaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
MAU
1 - 2
USA
56%
22%
22%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
GUA
4 - 1
MAU
26%
24%
51%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
MAU
0 - 1
DIA
45%
24%
32%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
BER
1 - 1
MAU
61%
21%
18%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MAU
1 - 2
BAR
29%
24%
47%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |