Manthiqueira vs Jacareí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.9%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
10.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manthiqueira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
ECU
4 - 2
MAN
18%
21%
61%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 0
MOG
78%
15%
8%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 1
MAN
27%
22%
50%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 3
USA
48%
23%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
JAC
1 - 1
MAN
16%
20%
64%
|
25 | 9 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Jacareí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
JAC
2 - 2
USA
16%
20%
64%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
UNI
4 - 0
JAC
69%
17%
14%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
JAC
2 - 2
ECU
47%
23%
30%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
MOG
1 - 3
JAC
45%
23%
32%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
JAC
1 - 1
MAN
16%
20%
64%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | +1 |