Manthiqueira vs Fernandópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
38.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manthiqueira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
MAN
2 - 2
NOR
30%
24%
46%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
LEM
0 - 0
MAN
41%
24%
36%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
MAN
4 - 2
GUA
64%
20%
16%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
DIA
0 - 5
MAN
43%
24%
33%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
USA
0 - 3
MAN
40%
24%
36%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Fernandópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
FER
2 - 0
LEM
52%
23%
25%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
BEB
3 - 2
FER
45%
24%
31%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
VOC
0 - 1
FER
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
FER
2 - 0
AME
37%
24%
39%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
FER
9 - 0
OSV
56%
23%
22%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |