Manta vs Mushuc Runa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
29.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
SSR
2 - 0
MAN
46%
28%
27%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
MAN
3 - 0
QUI
71%
19%
10%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
TEC
1 - 2
MAN
53%
26%
21%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
MAN
0 - 1
LDU
56%
24%
19%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
LOJ
0 - 1
MAN
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
MUS
1 - 0
IMB
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
LIG
1 - 2
MUS
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
MUS
2 - 4
BSC
28%
28%
43%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
CUE
3 - 1
MUS
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
MUS
2 - 0
AUC
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |