Manta vs Mushuc Runa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
27.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
UCE
2 - 1
MAN
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
MAN
3 - 0
LOJ
34%
28%
39%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
QUI
1 - 1
MAN
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
MAN
3 - 3
LIG
38%
31%
31%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2014 |
BSC
0 - 1
MAN
66%
22%
12%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
MUS
1 - 1
NAC
38%
28%
34%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2014 |
IVT
1 - 0
MUS
66%
21%
14%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
MUS
0 - 1
EME
26%
27%
47%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
MUS
1 - 2
CUE
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2014 |
UCE
1 - 1
MUS
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |