Manta vs Mushuc Runa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
20.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
BSC
1 - 0
MAN
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
MAN
1 - 0
LIG
37%
30%
33%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
IVT
1 - 1
MAN
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
MAN
0 - 0
EME
28%
28%
44%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2013 |
MAC
2 - 1
MAN
37%
28%
35%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
MUS
1 - 2
UCE
31%
28%
41%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
EME
1 - 0
MUS
71%
18%
12%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
GRE
6 - 0
MUS
31%
29%
40%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
MUS
1 - 0
AUC
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2013 |
OLM
1 - 0
MUS
55%
26%
19%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |