Manta vs Vargas Torres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
18.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
15.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
1º
6º
2º
33
2º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
ESA
1 - 2
MAN
29%
30%
41%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 0
GUA
51%
26%
23%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
MAN
2 - 1
OCT
39%
28%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
LFC
1 - 1
MAN
23%
30%
47%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
MAN
2 - 1
CHA
64%
23%
13%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
CSV
4 - 2
CHA
40%
30%
31%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
INJ
2 - 0
CSV
66%
22%
12%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
CSV
1 - 5
CUN
22%
30%
48%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
OCT
0 - 0
CSV
63%
23%
14%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
CSV
1 - 1
RIV
20%
31%
49%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +1 |