Manta vs Vargas Torres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
17.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
1º
6º
2º
33
2º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 0
MAN
36%
28%
36%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 0
INJ
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
OCT
0 - 3
MAN
51%
26%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 1
OCT
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
MAC
1 - 3
MAN
57%
25%
18%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
CSV
1 - 1
LFC
52%
26%
23%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
CSV
1 - 1
CHA
34%
30%
36%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
INJ
1 - 1
CSV
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 1
CSV
45%
28%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
CSV
0 - 1
AME
28%
28%
43%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |