Manta vs Vargas Torres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
17.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
7º
4º
44
4º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 1
MAN
36%
29%
35%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2023 |
MAN
2 - 0
INJ
39%
28%
34%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
CUN
1 - 1
MAN
31%
29%
40%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
MAN
3 - 1
MAC
29%
28%
43%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +2 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
OCT
0 - 1
MAN
59%
24%
17%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
CSV
2 - 0
OCT
22%
27%
52%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
CSV
0 - 0
GUA
30%
29%
41%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 0
CSV
53%
26%
21%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2023 |
CSV
0 - 0
CUN
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2023 |
IMB
0 - 0
CSV
59%
24%
17%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |