Manta vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
18.3%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
42.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
7º
4º
64
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
OCT
0 - 1
MAN
59%
24%
17%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
MAN
2 - 0
IMB
35%
27%
38%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
AME
1 - 1
MAN
52%
27%
21%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 1
MAN
37%
30%
34%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 0
CHA
49%
27%
24%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2023 |
MAC
2 - 0
AME
53%
26%
21%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 2
MAC
23%
29%
48%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
MAC
1 - 0
CSV
62%
24%
14%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
CUN
2 - 3
MAC
22%
27%
51%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
MAC
2 - 1
INJ
48%
27%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |