Manta vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
37.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
CLA
1 - 1
MAN
60%
25%
16%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
MAN
0 - 1
COL
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 2
OLM
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
IMB
0 - 0
MAN
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
MAN
0 - 0
IMB
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
MAC
2 - 0
IMB
56%
24%
19%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
OLM
1 - 1
MAC
35%
27%
38%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
MAC
3 - 0
QUI
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
LOJ
1 - 1
MAC
34%
27%
39%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
MAC
2 - 1
LOJ
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |