Manta vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
28.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
CLA
2 - 1
MAN
48%
29%
23%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
MAN
2 - 0
COL
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2016 |
COL
0 - 2
MAN
44%
29%
27%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
MAN
2 - 2
OLM
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
IMB
0 - 1
MAN
44%
28%
28%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
MAC
3 - 0
IMB
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
OLM
1 - 2
MAC
45%
25%
30%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
MAC
1 - 2
QUI
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
LOJ
0 - 7
MAC
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
MAC
0 - 0
LOJ
39%
28%
34%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |