Manta vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2015 |
MAN
0 - 0
DEL
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
LDU
1 - 2
MAN
37%
28%
34%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
MAN
3 - 0
DEP
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
IMB
2 - 1
MAN
41%
29%
30%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
MAN
3 - 1
TEC
38%
26%
36%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2015 |
MAC
1 - 2
LDU
56%
24%
21%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
DEP
4 - 2
MAC
39%
28%
34%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
MAC
1 - 2
IMB
51%
26%
24%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
ESP
2 - 2
MAC
27%
28%
45%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
MAC
4 - 1
DEL
47%
29%
24%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |