Manta vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
28%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
ESP
0 - 0
MAN
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
MAN
1 - 0
QUI
35%
28%
37%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
LIG
2 - 1
MAN
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
OLM
2 - 0
MAN
48%
29%
23%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
MAN
0 - 0
BSC
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
MAC
1 - 3
OLM
46%
28%
27%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
BSC
0 - 0
MAC
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
MAC
2 - 1
TEC
57%
25%
19%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
CUE
0 - 1
MAC
50%
27%
23%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
MAC
1 - 0
NAC
37%
27%
36%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |