Manta vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
57.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 2
DEL
28%
27%
45%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
LIG
1 - 0
MAN
68%
19%
12%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
MAN
0 - 2
TEC
37%
27%
37%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
ORE
0 - 1
MAN
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 1
AUC
27%
25%
48%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
PAL
5 - 0
IVT
65%
20%
16%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
IVT
1 - 1
DYJ
49%
25%
27%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
IVT
2 - 1
OCT
72%
16%
12%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
GRE
1 - 2
IVT
64%
19%
17%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
IVT
2 - 1
GRE
32%
27%
42%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |