Manta vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
28.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
DUC
0 - 1
MAN
47%
28%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
MAN
2 - 0
MUN
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
GRE
0 - 0
MAN
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
MAN
0 - 0
LOJ
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
IMB
1 - 1
MAN
46%
28%
27%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
IVT
3 - 2
LDU
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
IVT
2 - 0
AUC
64%
22%
14%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
DUC
2 - 1
IVT
41%
28%
31%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
IVT
4 - 1
MUN
68%
21%
11%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
GRE
1 - 1
IVT
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |