Le Mans vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
31.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Mans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
MPL
2 - 1
LMU
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
LMU
1 - 1
ASS
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
REN
2 - 1
LMU
56%
24%
21%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
LMU
0 - 1
AUX
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
NIC
1 - 0
LMU
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
VAL
3 - 1
MON
44%
27%
29%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
LIL
4 - 0
VAL
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
GIR
0 - 1
VAL
67%
21%
12%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
VAL
1 - 1
MPL
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
REN
0 - 3
VAL
58%
24%
18%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |