Le Mans vs Avranches II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.6%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
6.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Mans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
LMU
0 - 2
CHA
17%
24%
60%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
EVR
0 - 0
LMU
19%
25%
56%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
AUB
2 - 0
LMU
28%
27%
45%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
LMU
2 - 0
ASB
61%
24%
15%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
LMU
0 - 1
BOU
63%
22%
15%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Avranches II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
AVR
1 - 2
AUB
22%
21%
58%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
BOU
0 - 2
AVR
74%
16%
10%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
AVR
1 - 2
QUE
34%
23%
43%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CAE
1 - 2
AVR
75%
15%
10%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
AVR
3 - 2
UJA
31%
23%
46%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +1 |