Le Mans II vs Luçon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
31%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Mans II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
LAV
1 - 1
LEM
45%
28%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
LEM
0 - 1
YZE
38%
27%
35%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
LEM
3 - 1
CHE
39%
28%
33%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
LES
1 - 1
LEM
55%
24%
22%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
LEM
1 - 0
CAR
46%
26%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Luçon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
LUC
1 - 1
LES
40%
28%
32%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 3
LUC
35%
28%
37%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
LUC
1 - 1
ROM
41%
26%
34%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
LOR
2 - 1
LUC
36%
26%
38%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
LUC
0 - 3
FON
55%
25%
20%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |