Le Mans II vs Lorient II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
30%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Mans II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
PAC
1 - 0
LEM
63%
22%
14%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
LEM
0 - 0
CAE
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 1
LEM
49%
26%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
LEM
0 - 1
LEH
52%
25%
23%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
LEM
2 - 3
SAU
38%
25%
36%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lorient II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
LOR
2 - 1
LUC
34%
26%
40%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
VCH
3 - 1
LOR
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
LOR
1 - 1
PLA
31%
27%
43%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
CON
0 - 1
LOR
33%
26%
41%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
LOR
0 - 1
AVR
45%
26%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |