Le Mans II vs Avranches analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
34.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Mans II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
SAU
2 - 4
LEM
35%
26%
39%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
LEM
1 - 0
STA
40%
26%
34%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
SAI
0 - 0
LEM
46%
25%
30%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
LEM
2 - 1
CAE
42%
25%
32%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
ROM
1 - 1
LEM
58%
23%
20%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
AVR
4 - 2
CON
47%
27%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
VCH
0 - 0
AVR
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
AVR
1 - 2
LUC
33%
27%
41%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
LES
0 - 1
AVR
51%
25%
25%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
AVR
1 - 1
LEH
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |