Le Mans II vs Avranches analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
41.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Mans II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2012 |
LAV
1 - 3
LEM
36%
27%
37%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
LEM
2 - 0
PON
49%
26%
25%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
LES
1 - 0
LEM
54%
24%
22%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
LEM
0 - 1
FON
52%
25%
23%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
ROM
1 - 0
LEM
66%
20%
15%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2012 |
AVR
1 - 0
LUC
34%
27%
40%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
VCH
2 - 2
AVR
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
AVR
2 - 0
PLA
33%
28%
39%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CON
4 - 1
AVR
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
AVR
0 - 2
SAU
51%
25%
25%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |