Manovar At. vs Obrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.6%
41.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manovar At.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
BLA
2 - 0
MAN
69%
16%
16%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
MAN
1 - 1
CDI
45%
21%
34%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
SAL
4 - 1
MAN
90%
6%
3%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
ALC
3 - 0
MAN
87%
9%
4%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
MAN
1 - 0
CLU
56%
20%
24%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Obrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
OBR
2 - 5
SAL
11%
15%
74%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
ALC
6 - 0
OBR
89%
8%
3%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
OBR
0 - 1
CLU
60%
18%
23%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
OBR
1 - 6
SPO
25%
23%
52%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
INM
3 - 2
OBR
59%
19%
22%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |