Marchfeld vs Würmla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.7%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.1%
6.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marchfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
SPR
0 - 0
MAN
24%
21%
55%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
MAN
4 - 2
KRE
38%
22%
41%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
GAF
0 - 2
MAN
17%
21%
62%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
MAN
5 - 2
WAI
78%
14%
8%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
LEO
1 - 4
MAN
54%
22%
24%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Würmla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
KOT
2 - 1
WUR
70%
18%
12%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
WUR
1 - 2
SPR
41%
22%
37%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
KRE
1 - 3
WUR
88%
8%
4%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
WUR
2 - 1
GAF
52%
22%
26%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
WAI
1 - 2
WUR
56%
22%
22%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |