Marchfeld vs Neusiedl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
16.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marchfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
LEI
2 - 0
MAN
35%
25%
40%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
RAP
0 - 2
MAN
64%
20%
17%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
MAN
1 - 0
SCH
85%
10%
5%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2018 |
MAN
0 - 3
EBR
31%
24%
45%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
GRA
6 - 0
MAN
67%
19%
14%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Neusiedl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
NEU
4 - 4
STP
61%
19%
20%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 1
NEU
47%
23%
30%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
NEU
2 - 2
ADM
64%
19%
18%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
WIE
2 - 4
NEU
59%
20%
21%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Aug. 2018 |
NEU
2 - 2
STA
34%
26%
40%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |