Marchfeld vs Gaflenz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
24.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marchfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
MIS
0 - 3
MAN
28%
23%
50%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
MAN
3 - 0
WAI
72%
16%
12%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 1
WUR
47%
22%
31%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2013 |
LAN
2 - 2
MAN
37%
24%
39%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
MAN
2 - 1
LEO
57%
21%
22%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Gaflenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
GAF
2 - 1
WAI
74%
15%
11%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
WUR
1 - 2
GAF
61%
20%
19%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
GAF
1 - 4
KOT
42%
24%
34%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
STP
0 - 0
GAF
37%
24%
39%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
GAF
1 - 3
STP
50%
23%
27%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |