Mannersdorf vs Ardagger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
69.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
14º
15º
60
1º
11º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mannersdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 0
SPR
26%
23%
50%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
WAI
0 - 0
MAN
65%
20%
16%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
ASV
8 - 0
MAN
74%
15%
11%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
SCO
3 - 0
MAN
72%
16%
12%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 2
SVH
31%
23%
46%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2023 |
KOT
3 - 0
ARD
38%
27%
35%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
ARD
2 - 0
SPR
70%
19%
11%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
STP
0 - 0
ARD
23%
24%
53%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
ARD
0 - 1
LAN
63%
22%
16%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
ARD
0 - 2
SVG
11%
23%
66%
|
36 | 70 | 34 | 0 |